Hi Everyone, I know this is a little early and i know that Tuesday and Wednesday should see storms fire up again along the NSW east coast, but i’m really excited by what the GFS model is throwing up for Friday and Saturday. So much so that i’ve started this thread about the potential. I plotted Fridays 06z run this evening using the last 00z data and the setup for the far Southern Tablelands and South Coast is looking very promising! Strong turning winds increasing in speed aloft, a fairly strong cap around 20c, good LI and a potential triple point setting up by 06z and a very sharp upper trough approaching rapidly. The only thing out is the CAPE but with the other factors so favourable i don’t think CAPE will be a problem.
Saturday is also looking promising with a second upper trough coming through and favorable instability but less favorable shear. What do others think? Could we have a setup capable of producing multiple supercells or even an isolated tornado?