El Nino not expected!

Interesting news from Weatherzone news:

"The weather bureau is predicting a big change in Australia's weather forecast this summer, with an El Nino no longer expected."

"....it is the biggest turnaround in weather patterns since records began."

My belief is that whenever bush fires occurred in major number so early in spring - particularly August to September, the following months tend to rain. I note that David Croan stated this just late last week that we are in a neutral phase.

This could see some significant storm activity during November and onwards. What do others think? A similar early hot early spring occurred in 1988 when October was hot and extremely dry. I mean how long can the central parts of Australia experience above average and near record prolonged high temperatures without some compensation?