India heatwave May 2015 with at least 1,400 to 2,000 fatalities

PossibleMonsoon

A heatwave affecting much of India during May 2015 has left its mark on the country. Depending on which news source is reviewed, Accuweather places the death toll at 1,400 while CNN places the toll much higher at or near 2,000.

The city of Delhi in Northern India has endured 15 days of maximum temperatures reaching or exceeding 100F (37.8C) with 112F (45C) being reached on the 23 May and 114F (46C) being reached on the 25 May 2015.

The India Meteorological Centre in Hyderabad provides daily weather updates and for the 30 May 2015, it shows oppressive heat conditions occurring across many towns and cities across Gujarat State, Diu, Daman and Dadra Nagar Heveli states including:-

Amreli - 44C reached.
Jaipur - 44C reached.
Kandla - 44C reached.
Bhopal - 43C reached.
Idor - 43C reached.

Across Andhra Pradesh state the maximum temperature reached 47.2C at a city called Jangamaheswarapuram followed by 44C at Kurnool. Other centres had 40 to 44C including 44C at Kurnool and 43.4C at Nandigama.
(Maximums for 30 May 2015).

In Telangana State, the city of Hanmakonda reached 45.5C on the 30 May while Ramagundam reached 46.5C.

Overnight minimums have also been significant and to show this, at 5.30 am at Nagur Sunday morning 31 May, the temperature was 30.6C at their weather station.

In Nagpur it reached 46C on the 30/5/2015 and 46C is forecast for the 31 May, 45C is forecast for the 1 June, 43C is forecast for the 2 June and 42C is forecast for the period 2 to 5 June 2015.

Heatwave alerts are issued for at least 9 states including Adilabad, Nalganda, Medak and Nizamabad.

The weather forecast for Delhi for the next 6 days (1 to 6 June 2015) show maximum temperatures of between 38C and 40C and oppressive conditions at Kolkata (Former Calcutta) with maximums of 37C to 38C being forecast and minimums of 28C to 29C.

The heatwave is taking it's toll and is a fixture of most Indian summers prior to the monsoon breaking. It has become an emergency for a number of reasons with elderly not having access to drinking water or ability to keep cool. A high death toll has occurred due to poor planning and in some cases lack of access to clean drinking water.

The forecast Monsoon map is provided because the heatwave and oppressive conditions will continue until the monsoon from the south arrives. It appears the heatwave has some time to run in some regions until the monsoon spreads across the affected area bringing relief and rainy conditions. The important monsoon break is moving north towards India and based on the forecast plot, relief should be at hand across much of India by mid June assuming the forecast model is accurate.

Comments

comments

  • Harley Pearman

    It appears that the death toll has topped or approaching 2,200 according to news sources from CNN.

    It is also revealed that a significant portion of India’s population do not have access to electricity and hence this weather event has taken such a high toll because people are unable to cool down using fans or air conditioners.

    Some relief is starting to be felt across parts of Southern India where thunderstorms and showers have occurred but for many areas not impacted by the storms, the heatwave continues into early June.

    The India Meteorological Centre shows that Nagpur in Maharashtra State reached 46.5C on Sunday 31 May while Delhi reached 40.6C.

    The Meteorological Centre long range forecast suggests that conditions are becoming more favourable across parts of Southern India for the monsoon to sweep in from June 5 over Kerala which would begin to end the heat wave and excessive death toll. It is clear that the monsoon is delayed but evidence is emerging that the heatwave will ease soon as the monsoon reaches southern India.

  • Harley Pearman

    With the monsoon or it’s effects arriving over parts of Southern India, some relief has arrived from the heatwave for some areas. The outer effects of the monsoon is now pushing north. The core of the heat is pushed northwards across northern India and even into Pakistan.

    For some northern areas, the heatwave continues with places such as Nagpur in Maharashtra State still expecting 40C days to continue for the immediate future including 44C days being forecast for the 8 to the 10 June.

    New storeys now report an estimate death toll from this event upwards of 2,500 which is significant.

    Forecasts suggests that the monsoon for 2015 will deliver slightly less rainfall than normal due to the effects of El Nino. As a result, there may be potential for other hot spells to occur in coming months.

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