Issued at 11:15 am WST on Thursday 26 January 2012 A Cyclone WATCH has been declared for coastal areas from Whim Creek to Coral Bay. At 8:00 am WST Tropical Cyclone Iggy, Category 1 was estimated to be 850 kilometres northwest of Exmouth and 990 kilometres west northwest of Karratha and moving southeast at 9 kilometres per hour towards the west Pilbara coast. The cyclone is expected to intensify steadily as it approaches the coast. Tropical Cyclone Iggy has recurved and is now moving southeast towards the west Pilbara coast at about 9 kilometres per hour. Gales are not expected in coastal communities on Thursday or Friday, however gales may develop on the coast between Whim Creek and Coral Bay on Saturday. Rainfall is likely to increase on Friday in coastal parts of the Pilbara, west Kimberley and possibly on the west coast north of Cape Cuvier. Strong winds, heavy rainfall and abnormally large swells will be experienced near Christmas Island, the Kimberley and Pilbara coasts due to the influence of a strong monsoonal flow. FESA-State Emergency Service advises that there are no community alerts at present. Communities between Whim Creek and Coral Bay, including communities near Karratha, Onslow and Exmouth, should listen for the next issue. Details of Tropical Cyclone Iggy at 8:00 am WST: .Centre located near...... 16.2 degrees South 108.8 degrees East .Location accuracy........ within 85 kilometres .Recent movement.......... towards the southeast at 9 kilometres per hour .Wind gusts near centre... 100 kilometres per hour and intensifying .Severity category........ 1 .Central pressure......... 986 hectoPascals
Weather models have been tipping a significant rain event to impact parts of the southern QLD and northern NSW coastal regions starting Sunday 22nd. GFS maps have thrown up some amazing accumulations in the order of 700mm but it's also struggling with when and where most of that would fall.
The latest AR model output from the BoM with Weatherzone certainly has a flood look to it for the Northern Rivers. Strong high in the Tasman Sea, converging winds and persistent troughiness without a full blown coastal low forming.
I guess I should expect it to be pretty wet from Sunday night onwards !