Monthly Archives: October 2011

DPs have improved here overnight with solid 18-20s throughout the Northern Rivers. Actually Yamba has nearly 24. Northerly winds blowing. Sky has a moisture haze storm day look to it.

The first upper trough moves through this afternoon destabilsing the region. Shear is reasonable and better around the Grafton area so will probably target there at first. At 30/20 CAPE is over 2000 but we'll see.

There is another upper trough after midnight so could expect to see more showers or perhaps storms then as well.

Hi All,

I've been plotting the models for this weekend and there is an interesting setup tomorrow down the South Coast around Moryua and Batemans Bay. Reasonable CAPE and Lifted Index focused along the surface wind change tomorrow afternoon. It's a shame I can't chase as I have never chased down the South Coast. Sunday the GFS model has the change around Forster/Taree with a similar setup. It's not the best conditions though and I would hesitate to chase on Sunday. Weatherzone seems to be talking up Sunday with a forcast on their site of Severe Storms for NSW

Jeff.

18Z GFS CAPE Model predictions for 5pm local time