Re: another cylcone behind Yasi ?

Hi everyone. There is a new tropical disturbance summary,latest today at 2011 UTC from RSMC Nadi TCC.                                                                                                                               TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A2 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI
Feb 06/0753 UTC 2011 UTC.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TD10F [998HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 23.1S 175.4W AT
060600 UTC. TD 10F MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS. POSITION
FAIR BASED ON MTSAT VIS/IR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATIONS AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 28 DEGREES CELCIUS.

LLCC PARTIALLY EXPOSED. ORGANISATION HAS IMPROVED SIGNIFICANTLY IN
THE PAST 6 HOURS. CONVECTION HAS ERUPTED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS MAINLY
IN THE EASTERN FLANK. PRIMARY BANDS TRYING TO WRAP AROUND THE LLCC.
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS FROM SURFACE TO 500 HPA. SYSTEM LIES
UNDER AN UPPER DIFFLUENT REGION IN A WEAK SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.
GLOBAL MODELS ARE GRADUALLY DEVELOPING THE DEPRESSION AND MAINTAINING
A SOUTH-SOUTHWEST TRACK.

THE POTENTIAL FOR TD10F TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.

THE NEXT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON TD 10F WILL BE ISSUED
AROUND 061400 UTC

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