Extreme CAPE Gulf of Carpentaria 1

More evidence of extreme CAPE values - this time a spot sounding exceeded 6000J/kg. It will be interesting if storms erupt and to what extent the lightning activity will be.

6 thought on “Extreme CAPE Gulf of Carpentaria”
  1. A problem with that profile is that the lowers are a bit too dry and uppers moist. Latest runs have more modest instability but a better moisture profile for storms/

  2. Hi Michael, there were definitely going to be down bursts with the storms in this region. The models this morning gave downgraded significantly the outlook to a more Australian typical environment!

  3. You are correct Michael! Earlier soundings on the model runs were slightly more impressive. Anyway, in the end it was downgraded to 3000J/kg.

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